Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.069774 0.077301 0.085558 0.095335 0.106654 0.119416 0.134997
2024-10-27 0.057825 0.067867 0.079782 0.095146 0.114702 0.139147 0.172635
2024-11-03 0.050563 0.062059 0.076572 0.096640 0.124345 0.162316 0.220321
2024-11-10 0.045262 0.057571 0.073906 0.097856 0.133319 0.186126 0.275553
2024-11-17 0.040759 0.053338 0.070723 0.097473 0.139526 0.206911 0.332458
2024-11-24 0.037636 0.050505 0.068944 0.098599 0.147905 0.232730 0.406817
2024-12-01 0.035093 0.048139 0.067438 0.099737 0.156291 0.260395 0.495650
2024-12-08 0.032894 0.046003 0.065952 0.100559 0.164121 0.288899 0.599199
2024-12-15 0.030816 0.043818 0.064096 0.100405 0.170020 0.315046 0.710579
2024-12-22 0.028787 0.041511 0.061774 0.099058 0.173285 0.336411 0.821511
2024-12-29 0.027613 0.040443 0.061357 0.101047 0.183576 0.376811 1.016433
2025-01-05 0.025950 0.038441 0.059151 0.099364 0.185761 0.398191 1.164800
2025-01-12 0.024847 0.037299 0.058367 0.100408 0.194398 0.440012 1.431986
2025-01-19 0.023580 0.035789 0.056795 0.099688 0.198908 0.472425 1.697887
2025-01-26 0.022722 0.034911 0.056278 0.101060 0.208773 0.524999 2.136500
2025-02-02 0.021913 0.034056 0.055719 0.102257 0.218509 0.581862 2.703166
2025-02-09 0.020970 0.032896 0.054481 0.101813 0.223874 0.626601 3.289626
2025-02-16 0.020294 0.032165 0.053999 0.102989 0.233990 0.694430 4.249087
2025-02-23 0.019670 0.031485 0.053553 0.104188 0.244518 0.770443 5.577817
2025-03-02 0.019056 0.030781 0.052999 0.105056 0.254337 0.850174 7.363798
2025-03-09 0.018382 0.029925 0.052066 0.104892 0.260975 0.920254 9.495972
2025-03-16 0.017636 0.028888 0.050687 0.103465 0.263261 0.971002 11.735758
2025-03-23 0.017263 0.028540 0.050708 0.105572 0.277981 1.100297 17.446544